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#FedRateCutPrediction
隨著市場預計有84%機率降息25個基點,我傾向於佈局一個受控反彈,而非全面突破。
降息將減輕流動性壓力並提升風險偏好,但聯準會的語氣將決定真正的走勢。
我的策略:
• 在BTC/ETH回落至關鍵支撐位時做多
• 將部分利潤輪動至強勢敘事:AI、RWA 和 L2
• 在聯準會確認鴿派展望前設置緊密止損
若降息確認,我預期短期波動性激增,隨後迎來穩定復甦浪潮。
若未降息=資金避險反應,我將對高Beta山寨幣做空以對沖。
不確定時期的聰明交易,始於宏觀層面的清晰判斷。$BTC $ETH