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预测市场:Polymarket上认为2026年1月BTC价格达到$95,000的概率是64%;
期权市场:过去30天,在$100,000这一档,买入看涨期权的资金明显压倒卖出方,真金白银的在为“BTC突破10万”支付溢价;
无论是$95,000还是$100,000,都高于当前BTC的价格,这也是当前市场情绪的真实写照。
如果是你,会站那一边 —— $100,000 能到 or 不能?