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「比特幣永存」的敘事帶有值得檢視的盲點。它建立在一個假設之上:沒有更優越的技術會出現——創新就此停止。但這幾乎不是科技的運作方式。當你放遠視角,這個賭注看起來越來越脆弱。真正的變數是?量子計算。一旦它到來,支撐比特幣安全模型的整個密碼學基礎將面臨真正的壓力。我們不僅僅是在談論漸進式的改進;我們是在談論潛在的計算能力轉變。越往未來看,將任何當前資產類別視為永久主導的風險就越高。市場在演變,技術在顛覆。問題不在於比特幣是否仍然有價值——而在於明天的計算景觀是否會使今天的假設變得過時。