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這是自 2023 年底以來 BTC 首次重新測試該長期趨勢線。歷史數據顯示,比特幣在跌破 100 周均線後,往往會回踩 200 周均線並形成中長期底部。部分交易員預計,若價格進一步下探,6.8 萬美元一線將是關鍵觀察區,若失守,下一關注區間可能下移至 5.5 萬—5.8 萬美元。
儘管 BTC 自高點回撤已超 40%,市場情緒並未出現全面投降。機構分析人士指出,加密市場「寒冬」通常持續約 14 個月,當前階段或已接近尾聲。與此同時,美國現貨比特幣 ETF 自 1 月中旬以來淨流出約 32 億美元,僅占其總管理規模的約 3%,顯示長期資金韌性仍在。#当前行情抄底还是观望?