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從4小時結構來看,大饼在前期快速下探後進入低位震盪修復階段。周一、周二的判斷均與盤面運行高度一致,價格在下探至68000一帶後明顯止跌,隨即展開反抽修復,走勢完全按照預期節奏推進。
當前布林帶持續收口,價格圍繞中軌反覆拉扯,說明市場並未走出有效方向,仍處在情緒修復期。上方71000—71600區域對應布林上軌與前期反彈高點,壓制清晰,反彈到位後量能始終跟不上;下方68000一線則成為短期多空分水嶺,未破之前不宜盲目追空。
日內思路維持不變,結構上依舊是反彈中的弱勢震盪。操作上反彈關注70500—71500區域承壓情況,優先布局空單,下看69000—68000;若再次回踩68000附近不破並出現企穩信號,可輕倉參與短線反抽,目標先看中軌,嚴格執行止盈止損,不做情緒單、不去格局。
震盪行情考驗的不是判斷對錯,而是誰更能尊重盤面、按節奏把利潤一筆一筆拿走
$BTC #当前行情抄底还是观望? #Gate春节赛马红包嘉年华 #我在Gate广场过新年