Morning Big Bitcoin Long Strategy

I. Technical Analysis
1. Support Structure
- Daily low of 67300 is a key support level. The 15-minute K-line has tested this level multiple times without effectively breaking through, accompanied by long lower wicks, indicating strong buying support below. This represents a short-term technical bottom.

- Price is currently oscillating in the 67800-68200 range, which is a consolidation phase after the decline, building momentum for a subsequent rebound.

2. Volume and Sentiment
- During the morning decline, trading volume expanded, and selling pressure has been partially released. Current low-volume consolidation indicates that panic sentiment has eased, with signs of gradual long entry.

- Net capital outflows are narrowing, open interest remains stable. Market sentiment has shifted from extreme bearishness to neutrality, providing a foundation for a rebound.

3. Pattern Signals

- A 15-minute level stop-loss K-line combination has formed (red candles gradually expanding, lower wicks increasing). Short-term moving averages show an upturned trend. If price can hold 68000, it will open upward potential.

II. Logic and Risk

✅ Core Long Logic

1. Oversold Recovery: Declined from intraday high of 69555 to 67300, with maximum drawdown exceeding 3%, representing a short-term oversold condition with demand for technical rebound.
2. Valid Support: 67300 as the intraday low is a market consensus key support. Before it breaks, it can be viewed as the lower limit of a safe long zone.
3. Sentiment Recovery: After morning panic selling, capital reflux intent strengthens. Absent major negative news, price tends toward mean reversion.

1. Entry Conditions:
Wait for the 15-minute K-line to close positive and hold 67900, or price to pullback to the 67500–67700 range and find support, then build positions in tranches.

2. Stop Loss Placement:
Set unified stop loss at 67200. Once price breaks the intraday low with volume expansion by 200 points, exit immediately to confirm the breakdown.

3. Target Zones:
- First target: 68500 (fill prior consolidation center, can reduce position partially)
- Second target: 69200 (fill intraday decline, remaining position plays for higher space)

Note: If it breaks the lowest point, can follow the trend and short #TradFi首创多倍杠杆