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#FedRateHikeExpectationsResurface
聯邦儲備委員會在3月會議中將利率維持在3.50%至3.75%之間,但其鷹派基調強調由於油價上升,通脹正在上升,重新點燃了加息預期。根據CME Fedwatch工具的市場定價,年底前至少加息0.25個百分點的概率上升至25%,較前幾周有顯著增加。高油價和中東地區的地緣政治緊張局勢加強了通脹預期,使得央行更難放寬貨幣政策。國債收益率的上升趨勢,加上美元走強,支撐了賣壓。分析師指出,這些發展收緊了流動性,增加了比特幣和以太坊等風險資產的機會成本,並引發了加密市場的回調。然而,專家強調,這些預期只是牛市周期的暫時調整,基本經濟動態仍然強勁。投資者對短期波動保持謹慎,密切關注長期利率走向的數據,並相應調整其投資組合策略。