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#GAT CME美聯儲觀察:1月降息25個基點概率僅為2.1%
BlockBeats 消息,1 月 26 日,根據 CME「美聯儲觀察」數據,距離下一次 FOMC 會議還有 3 日,美聯儲在 1 月降息 25 個基點的概率僅為 2.1%,維持利率不變的概率高達 97.9%。
展望 3 月會議,降息概率分佈如下:
• 累計降息 50 個基點的概率:0.6%
• 累計降息 25 個基點的概率:27.0%
• 維持利率不變的概率:72.4%
數據表明,市場普遍預計美聯儲在近期內將維持現有利率水平。