3月2日消息，Solana (SOL) 价格在84美元至85美元之间波动，已连续四周盘整，未能突破77美元至88美元的震荡区间。尽管价格走势平稳，机构投资者兴趣依然强烈。今年以来，美国现货Solana ETF累计资金流入已超过9亿美元，上周单周录得4444万美元流入，其中周三单日流入3086万美元，显示机构对SOL仍保持信心。
然而，散户交易者情绪相对谨慎。SOL期货未平仓合约在24小时内下降超过6%，至48.9亿美元，同时总清算金额达到2647万美元，其中多头清算占2047万美元。这表明多头押注受到大范围平仓影响，但资金费率仍维持在0.0037%至0.0041%之间，多头杠杆持仓仍需支付溢价。
技术面显示，SOL价格低于50日和200日指数移动平均线（分别为99.06美元和137.23美元），构成上方阻力。日线图布林带收敛，通常预示价格将迎来大幅波动。相对强弱指数(RSI)约43，MACD柱状图显示空头动能减弱，但尚未出现明确金叉。分析师Umair Crypto指出，SOL的USDT交易对高点下降，而BTC交易对高点上升，这一分化已持续24天。
链上数据显示，过去12天Solana每日新增地址增加140万个，总数达到860万个，显示用户活跃度不断提升。长期持有者仍保持净正值，买盘动能虽减缓，但市场韧性增强。
关键价格水平方面，如果SOL突破88美元并上破93.43美元，下一个目标位为50日均线附近的99美元，进一步上涨有望挑战137美元阻力位。下行支撑位在77美元，跌破则可能回落至2月6日低点67.50美元。交易量下降5.77%，至122亿美元，未平仓合约也下降3.73%，至48.8亿美元。
这一盘整阶段及ETF资金流入趋势，或为SOL未来突破提供潜在动力，投资者可关注短期技术信号及链上用户增长情况。
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