The recent ranking battles in the crypto world have heated up again—XRP has forcibly pushed BNB out of the top five with a 24-hour increase of 20%. It’s worth noting that the last time BNB was surpassed was in 2019, and now being suddenly overtaken has caught many off guard. People are asking: Is this a genuine rebound or just a fleeting moment? Looking closely at the logic behind this wave of market movement, at least two factors are exerting influence simultaneously. On one side are institutional news—an leading bank in Southeast Asia is reportedly testing the XRP cross-border payment system. For a currency known for international remittances, this is a solid demand signal. On the other side is a shift in market sentiment—investors are starting to feel a bit exhausted, chasing new narratives and concepts every day, and are now turning back to those established projects with stable circulation and solid fundamentals, and XRP happens to hit this note perfectly. A chain reaction follows. Cross-chain concept tokens like SOL, AVAX, and ATOM are all in the red, and the exchange token sector is collectively plunging, indicating that new capital is reallocating. But there are also risks worth noting—XRP’s market cap isn’t very large, making it susceptible to control by big players. Those rushing in now should think carefully—will they end up becoming the bag holders? There’s also an unavoidable hurdle: the lawsuit from the US SEC still hangs over XRP, and new legal risks could emerge at any time. The crypto market is inherently fast-paced—rising quickly, falling just as fast. Recently, some even sold their houses to jump in because of this, only to suffer heavy losses. Ultimately, this wave of market activity resembles a game of multi-party power struggle—some are cashing out to lock in profits as prices rise, others are buying aggressively on opportunities, while rational investors are likely quietly observing how long the fundamental support can hold behind this rally. Whether XRP can truly break free from the difficulties of the past few years depends on whether institutional collaborations can finally materialize and whether regulatory attitudes will turn positive.

$GUN(GUNUSDT) The recent trend makes me think of an interesting phenomenon: good trading is like music creation, not sticking rigidly to one style. Look at how professional creators do it—after a mistake, they don't repeatedly revise the previous song, but move on to create the next piece. Trading should be the same. Losing a few trades is not scary; what's scary is obsessing over those trades and trying to turn things around by doubling down. The real approach is to completely change your perspective on your trading system, like re-planning a direction, rather than stubbornly holding on. **Current outlook on $GUN**: Mainly observing. The reason is straightforward: the 1-hour RSI has already reached 67.6, and the 4-hour RSI is even more aggressive at 83.3, which is a clear overbought signal. But that's not the most dangerous part—the more critical issue is the 98.6% plunge in trading volume. A rise at high levels without volume is like a castle in the air, extremely risky. If you must participate, there's only one trigger condition: a dip back to 0.0095 with volume support, then consider a light position if it pushes to 0.0103. In other cases, giving up on this wave's gains is no big regret. **Another question worth reflecting on**: Has recent loss been overly concentrated in mainstream coins? Assets like ETH, SOL, BNB tend to move in the same direction, so once you hit a snag, you hit multiple snags simultaneously. Next time, I suggest trying cross-sector allocation—interspersing MEME, DePIN, RWA to diversify, like having both fast-paced and soothing songs in an album. This is called style hedging, fundamentally reducing correlation risk. The biggest mistake in trading is repeating the same error. Trying different strategies is fine, but the real damage is falling into the same trap over and over again.

I used to be the kind of person obsessed with technical indicators—staying up late drawing lines, studying various combination strategies, trading frequently. And the result? My account didn’t improve; instead, I was tossed around by emotional swings and overtrading. The turning point came from a simple realization: the threshold for making money isn’t that high; I just made things more complicated than they needed to be. **Method One: Only trade breakouts, abandon range-bound trading** Stay completely out during sideways movements and consolidation. I learned to wait—wait for the price to volume-break through previous highs, which is a clear signal that the market has made a directional choice. When a genuine breakout occurs, ride the trend; if it’s a false breakout, cut losses immediately—no hesitation, no self-deception. Many people stubbornly hold during sideways markets and end up getting wiped out. The real problem is participating in markets where you shouldn’t be involved. **Method Two: Strictly control individual position sizes** Invest no more than 20% of your capital in a single trade. Take profits when it’s good, cut losses decisively when it’s bad. Don’t add to a position just because you feel it’s about to rise, and don’t stubbornly hold on when caught in a losing position. What’s the side effect of reducing trading frequency? Your mindset becomes more stable, and you can better seize those truly big market moves. Less is more—this is especially true in trading. **Method Three: Be a trend follower, not a predictor** Never try to bottom fish or guess the top. Only go long during uptrends, only go short during downtrends—treat yourself as a machine executing rules. It sounds boring, but boredom is actually the guarantee of a higher win rate. When the market is surging or plunging in popular coins like FHE, SOL, BNB, your system will automatically help you identify the most advantageous entry points. Trading is not fundamentally about how complex your technical indicators are, but about how consistently you can stick to disciplined execution. Being able to repeatedly follow a simple set of rules is far better than learning ten complicated strategies you can’t apply. Simple logic, repeated actions, persistent effort—this is how a trading career can last long.