AI Weekly Hotspot Report (10.03 - 10.10)

You are reading the weekly industry hotspot report generated for you by Gate AI Lab. Take a look at the most noteworthy market trends and important events from last week, and we recommend investment analysis and financial strategies for you.

Word count: 8759 words ｜ Reading time 11.8 minutes.

Directory:

1. Market Trends
2. Analysis of Capital Flow and Price Volatility
3. Hot Topics
4. Major Events
5. Global Policies
6. Investment Analysis

1. Market Trends

1.1. Market Sentiment

This week, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies reached $1.23 trillion, a decrease of 3.21% compared to the previous period. The trading volume on exchanges decreased by 6.78%, reaching $1.05 trillion. Bitcoin's price fluctuated around $28,500, with overall market sentiment leaning bearish. Major cryptocurrencies generally declined, and investors remain cautious about the prospects of cryptocurrencies.

According to the Gate Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is greed, with a Fear and Greed Index of 64. This is a decrease compared to yesterday, but overall it remains in the greed range, reflecting an overly optimistic market sentiment.

Crypto & Tradition Overview as of 09am UTC+8, Oct 10

1.2. Macroeconomic Impact

Recent data shows that the pace of global economic recovery is slowing, and inflationary pressures persist. The annualized core CPI for the US in September was 3.10%, in line with expectations. The industrial production month-on-month rate for the Eurozone in August was 0.30%, lower than expected. This data reflects the current situation of weak economic growth and persistent inflationary pressures under the loose monetary policy.

According to CME Group's “FedWatch” tool, the market expects a 4.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in December, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is as high as 95.4%. This indicates that the Federal Reserve will further slow down the pace of interest rate hikes to balance the relationship between economic growth and inflation control.

The fluctuations of the macroeconomy will directly affect the performance of risk assets. Against the backdrop of sustained inflation and slowing economic growth, the cryptocurrency market may face certain pressures. However, at the same time, loose monetary policy is also beneficial for the performance of risk assets. Overall, the cryptocurrency market will be influenced by multiple macro factors, and investors need to closely monitor changes in economic data.

1.3 Financial Calendar

Analysis Summary:

This week, several important economic data points will be released. The US September CPI data will be in the spotlight, with the market expecting the CPI year-on-year rate to remain at a high level. Additionally, EIA crude oil inventories, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, and new housing starts will also be closely monitored, helping to assess the state of the US economy. Canada's wholesale sales data will reflect its domestic demand situation. Investors need to pay close attention to changes in this data, as they will influence the central bank's monetary policy decisions.

2. Analysis of Capital Situation and Price Fluctuations

2.1. Price Volatility Analysis

BTC Volatility Based on the daily closing prices from the past week, the weekly volatility of BTC is 1.23%.

Price Fluctuation and Reasons This week, the price of BTC fluctuated between $120,000 and $126,000. The price increase was mainly driven by the Federal Reserve's dovish remarks and expectations of interest rate cuts, alleviating investors' concerns about an economic slowdown. However, the uncertainty in the market was also heightened due to delays in the release of economic data caused by the government shutdown.

Changes in Trading Volume and Impact The trading volume of BTC this week has remained relatively stable, but there may be short-term fluctuations after significant news events. Higher trading volumes usually indicate increased market activity, which may lead to greater price volatility.

Market Activity and Potential Price Direction Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment in the market remains optimistic for BTC. If the Federal Reserve further cuts interest rates, the price of BTC may continue to rise. However, if economic data weakens or policy positions change, it could also trigger a correction.

2.2. Fund Analysis

According to the latest capital flow data, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a net inflow trend over the past week, indicating that institutional investors continue to increase their positions. As of October 10, 2025, the net inflow amount for BTC reached as high as $156 million in a single day, reflecting the level of preference for Bitcoin among investors. Meanwhile, other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH) and Litecoin (LTC) have also seen varying degrees of net inflow.

Mainstream Cryptocurrency Fund Flow indicates that investors' confidence in the cryptocurrency market has improved. Although there have been some fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices recently, the continued inflow of funds may signal the arrival of a bull market. However, investors also need to remain cautious and closely monitor market trends.

From the perspective of different investor groups, institutional investors are the main force driving the current influx of funds. They have increased their positions in mainstream cryptocurrencies through various channels, reflecting an optimistic outlook on the long-term prospects of digital assets. At the same time, some retail investors are also buying on dips, but overall, the inflow of funds is relatively limited.

Overall, the activity level in the cryptocurrency market has rebounded. Capital flow data indicates an increase in investors' willingness to enter the market, reserving momentum for future price increases. However, it is also necessary to be vigilant about the inflow and outflow of speculative funds to avoid extreme fluctuations.

2.3. Smart Money Analysis

Large Order Transaction Volume Analysis The large transaction volume reflects the trends of institutional investors and can predict the future direction of the market. According to the latest data, the large transaction volumes of BTC and ETH are showing different trends.

The large transaction volume of BTC has recently decreased, indicating that institutional investors are gradually withdrawing their positions. This may mean that BTC will face some selling pressure in the short term, and the price may experience a correction.

ETH Large Order Transaction Volume Analysis Unlike BTC, the large transaction volume of ETH has recently increased, indicating that institutional investors are increasing their positions in ETH. This may be due to the upcoming Shanghai upgrade for Ethereum, leading to increased market demand for ETH.

Therefore, ETH may be supported by institutional funds in the short term, and the price may maintain an upward trend. However, investors also need to closely monitor the changes in ETH's fundamentals.

Summary Overall, the trading volume of large orders for BTC and ETH indicates that institutional investors are adjusting their positions. BTC may face some selling pressure, while ETH may receive support. Investors need to closely monitor market changes and make prudent decisions.

3. Hot Topics

The cryptocurrency market is once again experiencing a “meme craze,” with meme coins becoming the focus of investment.

Meme culture sweeps social media, meme coin prices surge

Over the past week, cryptocurrency social media has been enveloped by a wave of “meme fever.” Various quirky emojis, images, and videos have gone viral online, sparking massive participation and interaction from netizens. Meanwhile, some cryptocurrency projects themed around meme culture have also rapidly gained popularity, with their token prices experiencing significant increases.

According to CoinGecko, since October 3rd, the price of Pepe Coin, code-named PEPE, has increased by 68.92%, and is currently priced at $0.00002147. Another cryptocurrency called DOGE, or “Dogecoin”, has also risen by 23.76% over the past week, currently at $0.1589.

The rise of “meme culture” is closely linked to the extensive promotion by some well-known cryptocurrency traders and influencers on social media. By posting various humorous meme content, they have greatly increased the exposure of these meme coins.

Crypto Bully is a cryptocurrency trader with 1.2 million followers. In an interview, he stated: “Meme culture has always been a part of the cryptocurrency community, but it has become increasingly popular recently. People enjoy this entertainment and interactivity, and meme coins perfectly meet this demand.”

Crypto Messiah is another cryptocurrency influencer with 800,000 followers. He posted on social media: “The price of meme coins could double soon, or even higher. It's not too late to invest now, but you must act quickly.”

Exchanges and institutional investors have also joined the meme coin craze

It is worth noting that not only ordinary investors and traders but also some mainstream cryptocurrency exchanges and institutional investors have joined this trend of meme coins.

According to reports, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance is discussing internally whether to list PEPE and other popular meme coins. An anonymous insider from Binance stated: “The popularity of meme coins is very high right now, and of course we want to get a share of it.”

In addition, the famous cryptocurrency hedge fund Polychain Capital has recently invested in a meme coin project called DOGE. The founder of the fund, Olaf Carlson-Wee, said on Twitter: “We believe that DOGE represents a new, decentralized internet culture. Its potential is enormous.”

Meme Coin Bubble or Long-term Investment Opportunity?

Despite the current popularity of meme coin projects, many people are skeptical about their long-term prospects. Some experienced cryptocurrency investors believe that meme coins are merely a short-term speculative tool, lacking real practical value.

Rayne Steinberg, the CEO of Arca Funds, holds this view. In an interview, she stated: “There is no actual technology or business model supporting meme coins. Their value comes entirely from the frenzy and hype of people, which is a very unstable and fragile foundation.”

However, some people believe that meme coins represent a whole new, decentralized internet culture. As long as this culture continues to exist and develop, meme coins could become a long-term investment opportunity.

Josh Wolfe, the founder of Lux Capital, holds this optimistic attitude. He said: “Internet culture is undergoing a profound transformation. Meme coins allow everyone to participate and create value together. This decentralized power is something that no traditional company can replicate.”

Overall, the future prospects of meme coins currently remain highly uncertain. Whether they are merely a short-term speculative tool or can become a long-term investment opportunity is something we still need to wait and see.

4. Major Events

The following are the Top 15 events that have significantly impacted the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days:

1. The U.S. SEC Provides Regulatory Relief for IPO Companies 2025-10-10 08:37:50 The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ) issued guidance on Thursday to provide regulatory relief for companies planning to go public that are affected by the government shutdown. Companies that initiate an initial public offering ( IPO ) during the government shutdown are not required to include a specific offering price in the documents submitted to the SEC, a requirement that is typically a key part of the IPO process.

2. DapDap launches StableFlow cross-chain stablecoin bridge 2025-10-10 08:36:09 DapDap has launched StableFlow, a new stablecoin bridge that offers fast, efficient, and low-cost transactions. The platform supports token exchanges across 9 blockchain networks and enables large-scale transactions of up to $1 million, with fees of just 0.01%.

3. Total liquidation of 690 million USD in the last 24 hours 2025-10-10 08:35:50 According to Coinglass data, a total of $692 million was liquidated across the network in the past 24 hours, with $527 million in long positions and $165 million in short positions. Among them, $122 million in Bitcoin long positions and $153 million in Ethereum long positions were liquidated.

4. Ethereum Devcon releases Kohaku privacy wallet 2025-10-10 08:35:26 The Ethereum Foundation will launch the privacy-focused wallet Kohaku at the Devcon conference in Argentina, along with a 47-member privacy research cluster and zero-knowledge proof technology, to promote “preset privacy” as a protocol standard. The privacy coin sector has outperformed the market by 65.3% over the past 30 days.

5. Senator Lummis Jokes About Cryptocurrency Tax Reform 2025-10-10 05:18:27 Senator Cynthia Lummis has made headlines for previewing a significant crypto-related bill on social media. On July 3, she released a draft bill that directly addresses the long-standing complaints of the digital asset community.

6. The price of TRON is expected to break through $0.4 2025-10-10 05:04:23 Recently, Tron launched the SunPerp perpetual futures decentralized exchange. If it matches the prosperity of Solana, TRX could easily break through $0.4 before the end of the fourth quarter.

7. Ripple collaborates with Bahrain FinTech Bay 2025-10-10 05:01:15 Ripple has announced a new strategic partnership with the Bahrain FinTech Bay aimed at accelerating digital financial innovation and promoting the adoption of its RLUSD stablecoin in the Gulf region.

8. Bitcoin jumps to $123,000 2025-10-10 04:47:05 After Powell's speech avoided discussing monetary policy, Bitcoin rose above $123,000, easing investors' concerns and boosting market sentiment. The FOMC minutes reflect a dovish stance, with expectations of interest rate cuts.

9. MoonBull Becomes the Best Cryptocurrency Purchase Choice 2025-10-10 04:04:05 MoonBull ($MOBU) attracts attention with its impressive return on investment figures, setting the standard for the best cryptocurrencies currently. Its tokenomics combines liquidity enhancement, reflection, and supply destruction, indicating to early buyers that joining now means seizing momentum before prices soar further.

10. BlockchainFX Leads the Best Crypto Presale 2025-10-10 05:34:40 BlockchainFX ($BFX) is setting a new benchmark for the standards achievable in presale projects. This is the first cryptocurrency ecosystem that allows users to trade over 500 global assets on a single platform. It has currently raised over $9.1 million in its current round.

11. Little Pepe and Pepe Node Reshaping Meme Culture 2025-10-10 05:34:40 Little Pepe combines the humor and viral charm of Meme culture, but is equipped with an economic system designed for sustainable community growth. Pepe Node, on the other hand, focuses on building a decentralized infrastructure for Meme coins.

12. Bitcoin Hyper Reconstructs Classic Narratives 2025-10-10 05:34:40 Bitcoin Hyper is a next-generation fork concept designed to provide speed and scalability that the original Bitcoin chain cannot achieve. Its presale model introduces HyperVault staking, where holders can earn compound rewards.

13. XRP consolidates around $2.80 2025-10-10 01:34:22 The current trading price of XRP is $2.80, with a daily decline of 2.2%, but it remains steady at the resistance and support levels of $2.79 and $2.92. The 3-day chart shows a cup and handle pattern, indicating consolidation, which may be followed by a potential breakout.

14. Avalanche Coin Price Flashing Bullish Signals 2025-10-10 01:34:22 Avalanche (AVAX) seems to be preparing for a major move. Weeks of weak sideways action have finally made Avalanche (AVAX) appear strong again, and several senior analysts believe the next breakout is imminent.

15. Litecoin Stagnation, Aster Facing Obstacles 2025-10-10 01:24:55 Litecoin ( LTC ) price updates have been struggling at the support level, with momentum often fading after a brief rebound. On the other hand, Aster ( ASTER )'s price is attempting to break upward under pressure from token unlocking and large holder concentration.

5. Global Policies

The following is a summary and analysis of new political dynamics, economic policies, or regulations related to the global cryptocurrency industry based on news from October 3 to October 10, 2025, along with their impact on the industry and the market.

1. The U.S. SEC plans to initiate the “Innovation Exemption” rulemaking by the end of 2025 or in the first quarter of 2026

According to the statement by Paul Atkins, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the SEC plans to initiate the “Innovation Exemption” rule-making process by the end of 2025 or in the first quarter of 2026. This policy aims to provide a clearer regulatory framework for businesses based on digital assets to promote compliant innovation.

Impact Analysis:

• Facilitates cryptocurrency and blockchain companies to innovate under compliance, reducing regulatory uncertainty.
• Helps attract more institutional investors and traditional financial institutions to participate in the digital asset space.
• May promote the development of the cryptocurrency market and improve overall regulatory transparency.

2. Vietnam collaborates with Tether to establish a regulated cryptocurrency market

The Vietnamese government met with executives from stablecoin issuer Tether to seek advice on how to establish an active cryptocurrency market in the country. Previously, Vietnam paved the way for licensed cryptocurrency exchanges through legislation.

Impact Analysis:

• Marks that the Vietnamese government is actively embracing cryptocurrency and blockchain technology.
• Helps attract domestic and foreign cryptocurrency companies to establish operations in Vietnam, promoting the local cryptocurrency economy.
• Lay the groundwork for establishing a comprehensive cryptocurrency regulatory framework for the future of Vietnam.

3. U.S. Senators Debate Cryptocurrency Tax Policy

U.S. senators debated whether to establish special tax exemptions for cryptocurrencies to encourage everyday use and industry development.

Impact Analysis:

• If tax incentive policies are implemented, it will be beneficial to increase the usage and liquidity of cryptocurrencies.
• It may attract more innovative companies and capital into the cryptocurrency field.
• But it may also trigger controversies regarding fair taxation.

Summary:

Recently, multiple countries and regions around the world have introduced new policies and regulations related to cryptocurrencies, mainly including:

• The US SEC advances the “Innovation Exemption” rule, paving the way for compliance innovation for crypto companies.
• Vietnam collaborates with Tether to plan the establishment of a regulated cryptocurrency market.
• U.S. senators debate cryptocurrency tax policies, which may offer tax incentives.

These policies and regulations reflect that regulatory agencies are gradually embracing cryptocurrencies and creating a clearer and more favorable environment for industry development. This is expected to further drive the development of the cryptocurrency market and the participation of institutional investors.

6. Investment Analysis

6.1. Investment Recommendations

Market trends show that Bitcoin remains strong above $120,000, bringing new inflows into the cryptocurrency. Additionally, the anticipation of Ripple gaining banking licensing and the approval of the XRP ETF has also garnered widespread attention. On the other hand, decentralized exchanges in the Solana ecosystem continue to heat up, while the founder of Cardano revealed plans for integration with Bitcoin and XRP.

Disclaimer: The above suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and do not constitute financial advice. Investment carries risks; please make decisions cautiously.

6.2 Investment Strategy

Technical Analysis of Popular Tokens This Week

1. XRP is consolidating around $2.80, forming a cup and handle pattern on the chart, indicating a potential upward trend. The key support level is at $2.79, and a breakout above $2.92 could trigger a new round of upward movement.

2. Avalanche coin seems to be preparing for a significant market movement. The price is converging within a symmetrical triangle, and a breakout could drive the price towards the $38 target.

3. Injective has broken below a significant ascending triangle, confirming bearish momentum. The next key support level is at $9, and failing to hold this level may lead to further declines.

Quantitative Strategy Summary

This week's quantitative strategy performed steadily. The grid trading and volatility reversal strategies yielded higher returns, but also had relatively higher risks. The moving average and Bollinger Bands strategies had moderate returns with controllable risks. Overall, medium to low-risk strategies prevailed.

Introduction to Quantitative Strategies

6.3. Financial Management Products

Yubi Treasure Yubibao helps to match users with idle assets and those in need of borrowing. After users subscribe to Yubibao, the system will determine whether the borrowing is successful and the interest rate for that hour based on the user's set lending rate and actual borrowing demand at each hour. If the borrowing is successful, users can earn interest for that hour. However, users who redeem their funds before the hourly determination and those whose borrowing fails due to a set rate that is too high will not receive any interest.

Yubi Treasure supports users to customize interest rates. Users can set the minimum lending rate when subscribing, and after the lending is successfully determined at the whole point, the earnings will be calculated based on the determined rate.

Total funds ( USDT ): 1.11 billion Annualized return rate of USDT in the past 7 days: 4.36% + 8.87%

Wealth Management Treasure The Wealth Management Treasure is a one-stop comprehensive financial service center established by Gate, including current, fixed, and other all-inclusive financial solutions, providing users with hundreds of digital currency financial products across multiple categories.

Structured Finance Gate structured finance is a new type of financial product based on a combination of fixed income and financial derivatives such as options. Generally, the settlement yield level is determined by comparing the price performance of the underlying asset during the investment period with a specified linked price, which can be divided into two types: capital-protected and aggressive.

4. Market Interest Rate

Annotation illustration:

• TradFi is the interest rate data of traditional financial markets.
• CeFi is the range of funding rates for centralized cryptocurrency financial platforms.
• DeFi is the range of interest rates for decentralized finance platforms.

Disclaimer: The above data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrencies and related products carry a high investment risk; please invest cautiously.

6.4. Technical Analysis

Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy Backtest

Bollinger Bands are a commonly used technical indicator that identifies potential overbought or oversold conditions through the standard deviation of prices. The following trading strategy was used in this backtest:

• When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the upper band, take a selling action, with a position of 20%.
• When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the lower bound, make a buying action, with a position of 20%.
• The initial principal is 100,000 USDT

According to this trading strategy, the historical data of ETH from January 1, 2016, to October 10, 2025, was backtested, and the results are as follows:

• Final Yield: 136.72%
• Maximum Drawdown: -28.35%
• Annualized Volatility: 52.16%
• Annualized Yield: 12.38%
• Total number of transactions: 218 times
• Profitable trades: 132 times, accounting for 60.55%

Data Analysis:

• The strategy performs well in the long-term upward trend of ETH, with an ultimate yield of 136.72%.
• However, it is also accompanied by a high annual volatility of 52.16% and a maximum drawdown of -28.35%, indicating significant risk.
• The proportion of profitable trades is 60.55%, slightly higher than that of losing trades.
• The annualized return of 12.38% is relatively ideal, higher than the annualized increase of ETH during the same period.

Summary:

• Advantages: Able to capture the long-term upward trend of ETH well, achieving good returns.
• Disadvantages: High risk, significant drawdowns and volatility, frequent operations.
• Applicable scenarios: Suitable for investors with a higher risk tolerance who can withstand greater volatility.

The strategy performs well under the long-term upward trend of ETH, but the risks are also higher due to frequent operations. Investors need to manage risks reasonably during actual operations.