Jamesvanst

By the end of this week MSTR will most likely hold more BTC then IBIT.
MSTR: 780,897 BTC
IBIT: 788,927 BTC
STRC has already acquired over 4,000 BTC today

$STRC has traded over 50% of $MSTR trade volume today
STRC is a seventh of the size of MSTR

Starting a business used to be the primary method to building significant wealth.
Now, with the rise of AI and broader access to information and tools, investing is the lowest barrier to entry to achieve financial success.

In the next 3-5 years, the majority of GDP output from countries will come from AI/data centres than human beings.

Theres a six month period every four years where you just stack your heart out.
We are in that period.
Don't fumble the opportunity.

It looks like another bitcoin CME gap forms on Monday

The two scarcest things on the planet right now is bitcoin and compute.

The Fed Balance Sheet is up $150B from the lows 🔥

Iran demanding payment in bitcoin makes sense, as countries try to transition away from US dollars.
But the issue for a global settlement layer is privacy.
The Bitcoin transaction is always public, the workaround is conjoin but has compliance/scalability issues.
Bitcoin is better than gold, and stablecoins can be frozen.
Don’t say lightning, it’s failed and quantum will enhance centralisation, effectively making layer 2s and lightning redundant.

Iran demanding payment in bitcoin makes sense, as countries try to transition away from US dollars.
But the issue for a global settlement layer is privacy.
The Bitcoin transaction is always public, the workaround is conjoin but has scalability issues.
Bitcoin is better than gold, and stablecoins can be frozen.
Don’t say lightning, it’s failed and quantum will enhance centralisation, effectively making layer 2s and lightning redundant.

IBIT buyers got in at $40k and saw a 200% return in less than two years.
Morgan Stanley buyers got in at $70,000, a 200% return in two years is $210,000. Probable.

By the time oil was breaking substantially lower in June 2022 bitcoin was below the 200WMA and realized price.
In 2026, with oil breaking substantially lower, bitcoin is above both metrics.

Out of the 27 trading days since the war started, bitcoin has seen the least amount of down days (14).
Down Days
TLT: 69%
S&P 500: 58%
Gold: 56%
Bitcoin futures: 52%

Strategy accounts for about 7% of gross inflows into Bitcoin currently.
Unless we are in a full-blown mania where the company is buying 50k BTC a week like November 2024, they aren’t affecting the price.
Same set-up with ETFs, it’s a nice narrative

Its now been 178 days since the October 10 crash.
FTX collapsed 182 days after Luna.
I think crypto's internal recession is over and is now back trading inline with the macro.

Bitcoin made its local low on February 6, exactly 60 days ago.
The November to January consolidation was just under 70 days ago.
A move out of this range is likely by the end of this week