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The Strait of Hormuz is sealed.
25% of the world's oil, 20% of natural gas, nearly half of fertilizer raw materials are stuck here.
The US and Iran are at war; Khamenei has died, but his son has taken over directly, announcing an indefinite blockade of the strait.
Do you think this is just news? No, it has already become every number on your bill.
Oil prices soared from $73 to $119, up more than 50%.
But oil is the "mother of all things"—the jacket you wear (synthetic fibers up 20%), the plastic bags you use, the food you eat (fertilizer cut off)—all are rising together.
Tomatoes i

Vice President Vance of the United States accused Iran of implementing "economic terrorism" by closing the Strait of Hormuz and defended the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, saying it is a proportional response. Vance stated that Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is equivalent to "economic terrorism against the entire world." "They have essentially threatened all ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz." "As demonstrated by the U.S. president, we can play this game too," he added. "If the Iranians want to engage in 'economic terrorism,' we will also follow a simple principle: no Irania

Russia in danger! Europe, suddenly changing the weather!
Here, the US-Iran war is complex and confusing, and the Battle for the Strait of Hormuz continues to intensify; over there, shocking news suddenly comes from Europe—overnight, the entire continent's wind direction has completely changed!
On April 12th, local time, Hungary delivered breaking news: as one of Russia’s few close allies in Europe, Hungary’s Prime Minister Orban, who has been in power for 16 years, officially admits defeat!
With pro-Ukraine forces successfully taking power, this also means that Europe has entered a “chan

The US-Iran talks completely collapse, and the Crown Prince of the United Arab Emirates urgently visits China, wanting to send a message to Iran?
As the US-Iran talks break down, the Crown Prince of the UAE urgently visits China. According to the official website of China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Crown Prince Khaled of the UAE will visit China from the 12th to the 14th of this month. Clearly, Khaled’s visit to China this time is to seek something important.
The UAE’s urgent visit to China has been a long time coming. The UAE has long been regarded as the "safest haven" in the Middle

Does the Federal Reserve now wish that China would sell off U.S. Treasuries earlier? Why haven't they cut interest rates yet? Because they are well aware that sooner or later, China will sell off the $780 billion in U.S. Treasuries it holds. The only entity capable of absorbing such a large amount of Treasuries on the market is probably the Fed itself, so they have been waiting for this opportunity.
To be clear, the Fed may not genuinely be "hoping" for China to dump its holdings immediately, but it does need a sufficiently justifiable reason to re-enter the Treasury market. Due to the troub

The Strait of Hormuz is not the end; Iran's other killer move has been exposed, and the U.S. is in big trouble
Regarding Iran issues, the United States is gradually pushing itself into a dead end. After the first round of negotiations failed, Trump quickly turned hostile. Recently, Trump publicly accused Iran of "not fulfilling commitments to open the Strait of Hormuz," and announced that U.S. military forces would take blockade actions against the Strait of Hormuz, intercepting, inspecting, and even blocking all ships entering or leaving Iranian ports and related waters.
Trump announced t

The White House sent two cards to China, catching Japan off guard, and Sanae Takaichi quickly turned her attention to Malaysia!
An analysis article published by United Morning Post says that the U.S. strategic chaos in the Middle East has not only left itself mired in a quagmire, but also dragged the world into an energy and fertilizer crisis, while China had completed its energy and food production layout in advance. Staying unflustered, China can instead expand cooperation with other countries and fill the global gaps in fertilizer and fuel supplies.
China is the world’s second-largest f

Putting these two news stories together, it’s really outrageous and hilarious.
First, take a look at these two reports—it's basically a big drama titled “Nobody’s allowed to be the main character,” you know?
Let’s start with Trump. That’s really “harder with words than with a cannon, clumsier with hands than with feet.” On the one hand, he’s shouting about sealing Iranian ports and threatening a 50% tariff increase, thinking he can control the whole situation like dealing cards in a game. So what happened? Iran didn’t go head-on with him at all. It told its Yemen “little brother” to block

Breaking! Tonight at 10 PM, U.S. military blocks all maritime shipping in Iran
At 10 PM Beijing time tonight, U.S. forces officially seal off all Iranian ports and maritime routes.
Global crude oil supply is directly restricted, and oil prices are about to surge.
Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions are intensifying, with Bitcoin and gold hedging sentiments at their peak.
The market will experience intense volatility next, so please keep your positions light and strictly control risks, and avoid being caught off guard by news-driven orders! $BTC $XAU #BTC #美伊和谈未能达成协议 #Gold

Negotiations collapsed in less than 24 hours! Iran put on display children’s relics, and the Epstein scandal hit Trump with a sudden ambush.
Peace talks? They fizzled out in less than a day. Faster than I expected.
What did these negotiations look like? Uncle Hat mediating a fight: the two had just finished the battle, and both were still red-eyed. Iran in one place, the U.S. in another—exchanging messages across the distance: “Calm down, calm down.” From the very beginning, there was never face-to-face contact.
Iran’s delegation boarded the plane, with pictures of elementary school students p

$BTC
Don’t go on fantasizing that the first big cannon blast will bring in a fortune of gold; if Trump dares to casually move against Iran, the first one to jump out and slap him won’t be a member of Congress, but the numbers sitting in your US stock account!
The net worth of American households is 184 trillion, and most of it is financial assets. Once the powder-keg in the Middle East goes off, if the Nasdaq drops by 10%, these American voters can head straight to the White House to start demolition. In the end, Blinken is just afraid that the market will pee itself in panic—after all, h

Elon Musk X Money’s April public beta—600 million users just need the Dogecoin ticket 🚀
Bro, Elon Musk confirmed in person on March 10 that X Money will open its public beta in April, integrating peer-to-peer transfers, bank deposits, debit cards, and cash rebates. Partners include Visa, which has obtained payment licenses in over 40 states. With 600 million active users and 21 million merchants already connected to Binance’s payment system, it only misses the Dogecoin ticket. The market generally expects Dogecoin to become the native settlement layer of this ecosystem. Think about it—600 m

Tron TRX Fundamentals Have Peaked! Sun Yuchen Tears Up with the Trump Family WLFI
Retail Investor Revolution (8): At this moment, I am the first on the entire network to call for shorting Tron TRX. Its technical side is very solid, but on fundamentals, it has actually already entered the final stage.
1. The Sun–Trump Conflict Plants Major Hidden Dangers
1. Sun Yuchen posted today in both Chinese and English, the second time he publicly accused the Trump family’s WLFI project of being a really shady, seriously awful scam.
2. This highly emotional venting seriously underestimated Trump’s

21 hours of grinding—it’s all for nothing! The US-Iran talks have collapsed, and both sides are trading insults with “unrealistic” jabs
This marathon-style negotiation between the US and Iran lasted a full 21 hours, stretching from Saturday through Sunday early morning, with five rounds of back-and-forth and written comments flying back and forth—so what’s the outcome? No deal.
The US side throws out:
After Vance finished a 4-minute press conference, he left right away, saying Iran won’t clearly commit to giving up nuclear weapons, “the differences are too big.” He left behind a “final p

The U.S.-Iran negotiations have ended without an agreement
Bitcoin has crashed
On April 12, the U.S.-Iran negotiations concluded. The U.S.’s overly high demands hindered the achievement of a joint framework and agreement, and both sides failed to reach an agreement.
U.S. Vice President Vance said at a press conference held in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, on the 12th that the U.S. has not reached a consensus with Iran and will return to the United States. Vance said that the U.S.-Iran negotiations failed to reach an agreement mainly because Iran did not make a clear commitment to g

🔥71 senior figures from Iran have mobilized en masse, with heavy Pakistan forces escorting them! Will Israel strike now?
Oh my goodness—this time Iran is really going all out!
On April 11, just after the U.S. sent 300 people led by Vance to Pakistan, Iran clamped down and directly dispatched a “top-tier sky group” of 71 people—Speaker Kalibaf, Foreign Minister Araghchi… bigwigs from every domain of security, politics, military, and the economy all showed up. Besides the Supreme Leader and the President, almost the entire leadership has “moved” to Islamabad.
My first reaction isn’t wheth

Here's a very realistic thing:
The Iran-U.S. talks have collapsed, and the U.S. delegation has already returned home!
If the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked or semi-blocked for a few more months, the global economy will really go haywire.
Don’t think it has nothing to do with you; this directly determines how oil prices $CL and gold prices $XAU move.
First, look at the most critical point: do countries’ oil reserves last enough for half a year?
- Japan: The largest reserves, about 100 days, can endure, but inflation will explode
- South Korea: Around 110 days, also able to endur